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August 8th, 2009
John Fredericks / Staff

Too Close To Call


It starts out a dead heat.

By John Fredericks / Staff


It starts out a dead heat.


A local voter survey by The Beacon last week showed the upcoming Roswell mayoral race a virtual three-way tie between incumbent Jere Wood and two veteran members of city council, Lori Henry and David Tolleson.


This race is as unpredictable as it gets. It can go any which way.


All three candidates registered a nearly identical 27 percent, with the remaining 19 percent undecided. If no candidate garners at least 50 percent of the total votes cast on Election Day, the city charter mandates a run-off in December between the two top vote getters.


SURVEY REVELATIONS


There were two potentially interesting revelations in the survey, and two confirmations of what we already suspected.


We’ll start with the confirmations.


This race is headed to a run-off. There is no electoral math that enables any of these candidates to capture over 50 percent, unless one of the three drop out, which is unlikely.


Tolleson’s support – east of the highway – is growing almost by the day. Unless Wood or Henry arrest his momentum, his vote base is likely to grow, and his East Roswell vote could eclipse his two opponents on election day, propelling him into the high thirty or low forty percent range.


There were a couple of surprises that came out of the survey.


Henry’s support is broader and deeper than we originally thought. It spans all four geographical quadrants, and cuts across all economic sectors. She polled the same in the poorest areas as she did in the wealthiest areas. This leads us to the conclusion that she has potential for vote growth.


Undecided voters, registering about one-fifth of those surveyed, may be the biggest shocker. Nearly 30 percent of those who said they were “undecided” added this disclaimer: “but definitely not Wood.” The survey had no prompt for this, nor did it beg or lead the question. This suggests that Wood’s negatives continue to run high, and have not abated.


DEBATE COULD BE DEFINITIVE


The campaign officially gets under way with an old-style, free-wheeling public debate this Thursday, August 13. Open to the public, it carries the potential to serve as a definitive moment in what is undoubtedly going to be a hotly contested election.


“I’m looking forward to it,” said Wood. “I like the lively format and it should be fun. I love a good debate. I am always excited to hear ideas about how we can make Roswell a better city, regardless of the source.” Wood added that he is pleased with the campaign’s tone.  “I am pleased that so far this campaign is about issues, and not personalities.”


Tolleson claimed that his message of “unity and working together” was resonating with voters.” The councilman judged that he senses “a healing of wounds” in the city. He added that he is signing up “literally hundreds” of new volunteers, and was looking forward to “getting his message out” in the upcoming debate.


Henry was less effusive and more circumspect. “I am talking to voters every day, and I believe the issues I have championed and my specific vision for our future will provide us with the support we need to win this race,” she predicted. 


At any rate, fasten your seatbelts; the race for Roswell’s next mayor is about to commute into full campaign mode this week. Right now, it’s anybody’s guess as to who will take the reigns as Roswell mayor come January 2010.

Roswell Mayoral Debate

Rules of Engagement

 

The debate is open to the public and the press, and will be carried live on Beaconcast.com IPTV as a pay-per view event for those who cannot attend.


The debate will be 90 minutes in length and broken down into two 45-minute sessions.


OPENING AND CLOSING STATEMENTS


The first session will commence with a 3-minute opening statement by each candidate. Order will be selected by random drawing.


The second session will conclude with a 2-minute closing statement by each candidate. The candidate who delivered the first opening statement will deliver the last closing statement. There will be a coin flip to decide the order of the other two candidates for the closing statement order of first and second.


A FIVE-MINUTE INTERMISSION WILL DIVIDE THE TWO DEBATE SESSIONS


Each 45-minute question and answer session will consist of six questions posed by the moderators, John Fredericks of Beacon Media and Joel Aaron of WGKA- 920-AM Radio.


This means a minimum of 12 questions will be asked of the candidates during the evening, 6 per session.


The first 3 questions in the first segment will be the decision of the moderators.


The next three questions will be posed by each candidate to one of the other candidates directly. Potentially, one candidate may get two of the three questions posed by other two. Preferably, each candidate will get one question, but the rules will not mandate that scenario.


The next 6 questions in the second segment will come from the audience. All attendees will have the opportunity to write out questions for specific candidates and submit them at the intermission, on the forms provided. The moderators will then choose the next 6 questions from those received from the audience.


QUESTION AND ANSWER SEGMENTS


When candidate A receives a question from the moderators, he/she will have 90 seconds to answer.


After that, candidates B and C will each get 60 seconds to make their own points.


Candidate A will then have 30 seconds to respond to what candidates B and C said, or to make another point. This means the candidate who is asked the question gets both the first and last word.


The next question will go to candidate B, and he/she will get 90 seconds to answer. The other two candidates will then have 60 seconds to make their points, followed by a final response by candidate B for 30 seconds, and so forth.


Candidates will be asked a minimum of 2 questions each per session.


CHALLENGE FLAGS


Each candidate will be given two green challenge flags during the 90- minute debate. If a candidate chooses to use one of their two green challenge flags, the challenging candidate will have an additional 45-seconds to respond to anything or make another point at any time in the debate, except after opening or closing statements. If a candidate has green flags remaining at the end of the debate, they may use each flag to lengthen their closing statement by 45 seconds for each flag remaining if they so choose.


Theoretically, a challenge to a challenge to a challenge could occur. Once a candidate has utilized their two challenge flags, they cannot challenge again.


For example, if candidate C is asked a question, he/she will have 90 seconds to answer. After A and B respond in their 60 second time frames, candidate C will finish off the question with his/her 30 second response (as outlined in the first two question and answer segments above). At that point, if candidate A wanted to challenge and get the last word in, they may utilize one of their challenges flags and have 45 seconds to do so. Then candidate B or C could challenge that, and so forth.

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